Primeiro x Segundo turno: Fluminense melhora aproveitamento, mas ainda está abaixo dos times que se classificaram para a Libertadores nos últimos anos
As duas derrotas, fora de casa, frearam o bom aproveitamento do Fluminense no segundo turno do Brasileirão 2021. O time comandado por Marcão — que chegou a ter a quinta melhor campanha do returno — conquistou 46,6% dos pontos. Desempenho acima dos 43,8% da primeira metade do Campeonato Brasileiro. Mas, se somarmos os dois turnos, o percentual de 44,8% ainda está abaixo dos times que se classificaram para a Libertadores.
Com 10 partidas pelo returno, o Flu soma 14 pontos, com quatro vitórias, dois empates e quatro derrotas. Curiosamente, a mesma pontuação que somava até a 10ª rodada do primeiro turno enquanto ainda tinha Roger Machado como treinador. Só que com três vitórias, cinco empates e apenas duas derrotas até então.
Assim como a pontuação, outros números também estão parecidos, mas com diferenças sutis do segundo em relação ao primeiro turno. O ataque, por exemplo, em média tem balançado as redes mais vezes (1,0 contra 0,95 da primeira parte do Brasileirão). Em contrapartida, a defesa — um dos trunfos do Flu na edição 2020 — tem sido proporcionalmente mais vazada (1,1 contra 1,05).
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A maior diferença, no entanto, fica no aproveitamento do Fluminense com ou sem o mando de campo neste segundo turno. Mesmo com os tropeços diante de Fortaleza e Atlético-GO, o Tricolor conquistou 66,7% dos pontos em casa — acima dos 48,1% do primeiro turno —, com três vitórias, um empate e uma derrota. Por outro lado, a campanha fora de casa está muito abaixo. Três derrotas, um empate e uma vitória (contra o Athletico), ou seja, apenas 26,6% contra 40% do primeiro, quando venceu Chape, Sport e o Fla-Flu com mando do rival.
Resultados do Fluminense no primeiro e segundo turno do Brasileirão
| Primeiro turno | Segundo turno |
| São Paulo 0 x 0 Fluminense (E) | Fluminense 2 x 1 São Paulo (V) |
| Fluminense 1 x 0 Cuiabá (V) | Cuiabá 2 x 2 Fluminense (E) |
| RB Bragantino 2 x 2 Fluminense (E) | Fluminense 2 x 1 RB Bragantino (V) |
| Fluminense 1 x 0 Santos (V) | Santos 2 x 0 Fluminense (D)* |
| Fortaleza 1 x 1 Fluminense (E) | Fluminense 0 x 2 Fortaleza (D) |
| Atlético-GO 1 x 0 Fluminense (D) | Fluminense 0 x 0 Atlético-GO (E) |
| Fluminense 1 x 1 Corinthians (E) | Corinthians 1 x 0 Fluminense (D) |
| Fluminense 1 x 4 Athletico (D) | Athletico 0 x 1 Fluminense (V) |
| Flamengo 0 x 1 Fluminense (V) | Fluminense 3 x 1 Flamengo (V) |
| Fluminense 0 x 0 Ceará (E) | Ceará 1 x 0 Fluminense (D) |
*A partida contra o Santos, pela quarta rodada do returno, acabou adiada pela CBF e por isso o Tricolor só enfrentou o Peixe na última quarta-feira (27).
Marcão x Roger
Na próxima rodada, diante do Sport, o técnico Marcão vai igualar o mesmo número de partidas que Roger Machado nesta edição do Brasileirão. O ex-volante tem 14 jogos enquanto o ex-zagueiro disputou 15.
Mas o atual treinador já tem números melhores que o antecessor. Sob o comando de Marcão, somando a reta final do primeiro turno e o início do segundo turno, o Fluminense conquistou seis vitórias, quatro empates e sofreu quatro derrotas, ou seja, 52,3% de aproveitamento. Já Roger — antes de ser demitido — havia conquistado quatro vitórias, cinco empates e sofrido seis derrotas, um aproveitamento, portanto, de 37,7% dos pontos.
Além disso, os números do ataque e da defesa também melhoraram. Com Marcão, a média de gols do Fluminense subiu para 1,07 contra 0,8 com Roger. O Tricolor balançou as redes 15 vezes contra 12 com o ex-treinador. Já na defesa, a média de gols sofridos caiu de 1,13 com Roger para 0,92. Com o ex-zagueiro — autor do gol do título da Copa do Brasil 2007 — o Flu a defesa havia sido vazada em 17 oportunidades enquanto, com o atual comandante, foram 13.
Aproveitamento na reta final para se classificar para a Libertadores
Mesmo vindo de duas derrotas, o Flu se mantém na oitava colocação com 39 pontos em 29 jogos. Somando as partidas com Roger Machado e Marcão no comando, o Tricolor tem 44,8% de aproveitamento no Brasileirão.
Desde que a competição passou a ofertar mais vagas para a Copa Libertadores, a Chapecoense, em 2016, e o Santos, em 2020, foram as equipes que se classificaram com o menor percentual de pontos. Ambos terminaram com 47,3% (54 pontos) em anos que a tabela teve G8. Para alcançar esta pontuação, o Fluminense teria que melhorar, no segundo turno, o aproveitamento em relação a reta final do primeiro. Nos nove últimos jogos da primeira metade, o Tricolor somou 11 pontos e hoje precisaria somar pelo menos 15 no mesmo número de partidas.
E, para isso, o time de Marcão vai contar com cinco partidas em casa — contra Sport, Palmeiras, América-MG, Inter e a praticamente rebaixada Chape —, além de um confronto fora contra o Grêmio, que vive uma situação desesperadora no Campeonato.
Contudo, vale ressaltar que ainda há possibilidade de um inédito G9. Isso porque quatro dos sete times à frente do Fluminense na tabela estão envolvidos nas finais da Copa do Brasil, Libertadores ou Sul Americana. O Atlético-MG enfrenta o Athletico no mata-mata nacional, já Palmeiras e Flamengo decidem a Libertadores enquanto o RB Bragantino encara o Furacão na Copa Sul Americana.
No entanto, o G9 só não se concretizaria — caso a tabela se mantenha assim — se o Athletico Paranaense perder a Copa do Brasil e vencer a Copa Sul Americana. Isso porque o rubro-negro do Paraná hoje ocupa apenas a 14ª posição e não abriria mais uma vaga.
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Fang Jifan은 몸을 기울일 수 없었고 Liu Jin에게 “힘내세요! “라고 격려했습니다.
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