Jogos da rodada ajudam, e Flu fica cada vez mais perto da vaga para as semis.

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Com o empate entre Botafogo e Volta Redonda, em confronto realizado ontem (10), o Voltaço conseguiu se classificar para as semifinais do Carioca, e assumiu a ponta da tabela. Com isso, a situação de alguns clubes grandes, se agravaram. Faltam somente três vagas, os únicos que conseguem a classificação, baseando somente em seus resultados, sem depender de ninguém, são: Flamengo, Portuguesa e Fluminense.

Pontuação máxima que os times podem chegar:

Volta Redonda: 26 ( faltando duas rodadas)

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Flamengo: 26 (faltando três rodadas)

Portuguesa: 23 (faltando duas rodadas)

Fluminense: 22 (faltando três rodadas)

Quem pode chegar mais perto dos 22 pontos, é o Vasco, que se encontra na oitava posição, com 10 pontos. O cruzmaltino  pode atingir no máximo 19 pontos.

Sabendo desses números, podemos tirar algumas conclusões:

Caso o Fluminense vença o Nova Iguaçu hoje:

–  Botafogo e Madureira precisarão vencer os dois próximos jogos e torcer para que o Fluminense empate ou perca as rodadas faltantes, e a Portuguesa, no mínimo empate perca um e empate o outro. No caso do Resende, além de vencer seus jogos, a Lusa não poderia se dar ao luxo de empatar nenhuma, teria que ser derrotada nas rodadas finais

-Mesmo o rival vencendo o clássico vovô na próxima rodada, ainda assim o Fluminense continuaria dependendo somente dele

– Já o Vasco, para ultrapassar o Fluminense, precisaria vencer duas das três rodadas faltantes, e torcer para que o Flu tropeçasse nas duas últimas rodadas. Com estes resultados, o tricolor carioca atingiria 16 pontos com 9 vitórias, e o Cruzmaltino, 16 com 10 partidas ganhas, e ultrapassaria pelo critério de desempate. Para ultrapassar a Portuguesa, precisaria vencer todos, e torcer pra Lusa perder os dois jogos restantes, ou empatar.

– Se essas situações parecem milagrosas, a do Boavista fica ainda mais complicada, precisaria vencer os últimos jogos e torcer para um tropeço de todos os times acima.

Em caso de derrota ou empate, o panorama não muda muito, visto que, exceto Vasco e Flamengo, que se enfrentarão quarta-feira, todas as equipes entraram em campo pela nona rodada do campeonato. Empatando hoje, o Fluminense poderia chegar a 20 pontos na campeonato, e não poderia ser ultrapassado. Perdendo, ainda assim poderia chegar aos 19 e somente o Vasco poderia encostar. É claro que o Fluminense pode oscilar, e perder ou empatar as rodadas restantes, mas independente do resultado de hoje, continuaria dependendo somente de seus resultados.

 

ST

 


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